East Pacific Basin Hurricane & Tropical Storm Center
Odile Brings Significant Flooding to Mexico, Southwest U.S.;Tropical Storm Polo
Sep 17, 2014 5:27 AM
Odile made landfall near Cabo San Lucas in Baja California Sur around 9:45 p.m. PDT on Sunday as a Category 3 storm with sustained winds at 125 mph. This ties a record for the strongest hurricane to make landfall in Baja California Sur during the satellite era, according to the National Hurricane Center; Hurricane Olivia in 1967 held the previous record.
Since landfall, Odile has weakened to a tropical storm. Odile has maintained strength as it moved across the Gulf of California Tuesday night.
Threats include sustained tropical storm-force winds (those at 39 mph or higher) near Odile portions of northwest mainland Mexico, especially the Mexican state of Sonora. There will be flash floods, power outages, mudslides and significant damage to structures. It should arrive in northwest mainland Mexico early on Wednesday as a tropical storm.
In the United States, tropical moisture will stream into the Southwest ahead of Odile over the next couple of days. This will cause heavy thunderstorms and widespread, life threatening, flash flooding over southeast Arizona into western New Mexico mainly Wednesday into Thursday. Washed-out roads and mudslides will impact some of the hardest-hit areas.
Elsewhere in the basin, Tropical Storm Polo is about 200 miles south of Zihuatenejo, Mexico. It could strengthen into a hurricane off the southwest Mexican coast by Thursday morning. Warm water and decreasing wind shear will contribute to the strengthening. Polo can bring some heavy rain to the southwest Mexico Wednesday night into Thursday and possibly to the southern tip of the Baja peninsula this weekend. Tropical storm-force winds, those at 40 mph or higher, could begin to affect the coast as early as Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds, those at 74 mph or higher, should stay offshore.
By AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Dave Houk
Updated By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Evan Duffey
East Pacific Basin Maps
National Hurricane Center Outlook
516 ABPZ20 KNHC 171112 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Odile, located over the northern Gulf of California, and on Tropical Storm Polo, located a couple of hundred miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Stewart
The Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale is a categorical classification of hurricanes based on their wind speed, used by the U.S. government's National Hurricane Center.
To qualify as a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale, maximum sustained winds must exceed 155 mph (135 kt).
Hurricanes that have a severe impact on lives or the economy are remembered by generations after the devastation they caused, and some go into weather history.
AccuWeather.com has created a number of specialty maps designed for tracking the progress of tropical storms and hurricanes. Use these maps in conjunction with our Hurricane Position graphic, as well as statements issued by the NHC with storm positions.
Hurricanes (by whatever name) are by far most common in the Pacific Ocean, with the western Pacific being most active. In some years, the Philippines are struck by more than 20 tropical storms and typhoons.