Watching Areas South of Mexico for Development

May 23, 2013 11:26 PM
There is an area of thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of the Mexican coast. This area remains disorganized, so any development will be slow to occur. This feature is expected to remain well south of the Mexican coast over the next few days as it heads eastward. Some computer models are indicating low pressure developing just west of Central America late this weekend into early next week and moving south of Mexico. While any tropical development is speculative at this point, this area will be monitored over the next several days. In a typical year, the Eastern Pacific basin experiences 15 tropical storms, nine of which are hurricanes, and of those nine hurricanes, four become major hurricanes. Long-term records show that the Mexican and Central American coastal areas in the Eastern Pacific experience two to three landfalls per season. By AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist Bob Smerbeck

2013 East Pacific Storms

AlvinBarbaraCosmeDalilaErickFlossie
GilHenrietteIvoJulietteKikoLorena
ManuelNardaOctavePriscillaRaymondSonia
TicoVelmaWallisXinaYorkZelda

East Pacific Basin Maps

National Hurricane Center Outlook

NHC E. Pacific Activity

271 
ABPZ20 KNHC 240500
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU MAY 23 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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