TD 2 Showing Signs of Strengthening
Jun 19, 2013 10:41 AM
Tropical Depression Two is currently located in the southern Bay of Campeche. It is moving to the west at 9 mph and it has sustained winds of 35 mph.
Latest satellite imagery indicates that T.D. 2 has become better organized, with convection becoming more distinct on the northern side of its circulation. The storm is also encountering strong southwesterly wind shear, but this is expected to decrease throughout the day on Wednesday. As T.D. 2 continues on a west-northwest track over water today, it has the potential to strengthen into the second tropical storm of the season. Should it do so, it would be named Barry.
Regardless of further intensification, the main impact with this system will continue to be heavy rainfall, resulting in flooding. Rainfall totals will average more than 4 inches with many places picking up over 8 inches. The heaviest rain will fall over southern and southeastern Mexico including parts of the Yucatan Peninsula. Additionally, a large inflow of deep moisture flowing from Guatemala into T.D. 2 will help bring parts of that country heavy flooding rainfall. Interaction with higher terrain will lead to life threatening flooding and mudslides over parts of southern Mexico through Friday.
T.D. 2 is expected to continue on a predominantly western track, making landfall just south-southeast of Veracruz, Mexico, late tonight. The cyclone will unravel and fall apart upon interacting with the higher terrain of southern Mexico and is expected to dissipate on Thursday night.
Elsewhere, there are no other areas of concern for tropical development across the Atlantic basin thanks to unfavorable upper-level shear and Saharan dust.
by Accuweather.com Meteorologist Steve C. Travis
Atlantic Basin Maps
National Hurricane Center Outlook
029 ABNT20 KNHC 191139 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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